The Could-Be Guy

Jonathan Papelbon has drawn more comparisons to Roger Clemens than any other prospect in the Red Sox farm system in more than 15 years. I’m excited. You’re excited. Hell anybody who’s looked at the kid can see the similarities. Tall, hulking, intimidating figure that throws fireballs without fear. He’s a gunslinger in the image of the Rocket, Schilling and Beckett. I love his emotion and his mentality. But, let’s be honest about our new closer; he’s got A LOT to prove.
Sure he’s 4-4 in Save Oppurtunities. He’s strucken out 5 batters in 5.0IP. He’s allowed one hit in those 5 innings. I love it as much as you. But lest us not forget the makeup of our young lad. Yes he’s a fireballer with a dominating fastball and above average splitter. What some people don’t know is that he has at least three other pitches. Papelbon can throw a changeup, curveball and slider. He rarely throws any of these pitches and reportedly turned in his changeup for the nastier splitter. But we’re talking about a guy who clearly throws 70% if not more fastballs. Sure it’s 97mph and it may be fine to close with that stuff, but with a guy like that, who’s projected to be in the rotation, he needs to fine tune his other pitches.
Curt Schilling throws 80% fastballs at the relatively same velocity. But what Schilling can do is throw all of his other pitches: slider, curveball, changeup, cutter and splitter with command. Papelbon has good control. As it has been explained to me the difference between the two is that command of a strike zone means any pitch, any time, anywhere. Control is the ability to throw the pitch for a strike. Vastly different issues in terms of pitching.
I could be wrong. Papelbon may pan out and be the next great RHP for the Red Sox. But all I’m saying is, let’s hope he turns out more like Derek Lowe: going from great closer to great starter. And of course lets hope he can be consistent unlike Derek Lowe. Let’s not fill up too quick on Papelbon before he get’s pitch #3. Then I’ll start speaking in terms of “Rocketbon”.



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